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Ben Shapiro predicts the outcome of Israeli elections

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Israel now has 3 main options in the aftermath of the Israeli elections. It is truly a confusing situation. But, Ben Shapiro breaks it down and explains that the main lynchpin is Avigdor Lieberman. He is the leader of the Yisrael Beiteinu party and can choose which direction the leadership will go to. But, the most probable option is a national unity government. Let’s analyze what that means.

National Unity Government

Israel is a country that is not known for being a very unified country in terms of it’s fractious political parties. But, in truth, some of it’s leaders accentuate their differences much more than the things that unify them. Benjamin Netanyahu is not the most hawkish right wing Prime Minister. Benny Gantz, the leader of the Blue and White party, is not the most left-wing Prime Minister. The truth is that there is not that much personal enmity between the two, even though they said some pretty nasty things about each other during the election cycle.

They will probably switch between each other leading the country over the next few years. Shapiro makes an interesting point that the odds are in favor of Netanyahu coming out as a stronger leader following the unity stage. Netanyahu is better at PR, and Gantz will probably not lead very differently than Netanyahu.

Israel had a national unity government in the 80’s. Following the election, Yitzhak Shamir and Shimon Peres each did not have enough power to set up a majority. So, they switched off with each other. It didn’t work out that well, but it wasn’t a tragedy either. It was an ineffective government, but it manged to get by till 1988. Then Yitzhak Shamir won the next election. Don’t be surprised if the outcome after a national unity government is the reelection of Benjamin Netanyahu for yet another term when he is over the age of 70. Netanyahu has shown no signs of slowing down. This may indeed not be the last chapter of Netanyahu’s leadership.